From January 30th through February 1st, we conducted a national survey of 2020 general election likely voters to have an early baseline read of potential matchups in the Fall of 2020, including the potential independent candidacy of Howard Schultz.

With the help of 0ptimus, a firm of Republican data wonks, he has spent three years building Legis, an algorithm powered by vast quantities of data and a neural network (a computer system modelled on the human brain), which predicts the outcome of congressional votes. Each of the 44 votes it has forecast so...

Automated phone polling by the rising GOP public-affairs firm Firehouse Strategies, along with the data analytics team at 0ptimus, finds Trump’s base shrinking among likely midterm voters in the key swing states of Florida, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Ohio (2,901 interviews).

Presidential candidates obsess every four years over swing states like Florida and Pennsylvania, where undecided voters can make or break their campaigns. For tech companies like Airbnb, Facebook and Uber, those states appear to be proving just as tough — and critical — to make a dent politically. In a poll conducted at the...

A majority of Republicans (68.7%) surveyed in Trump Country (Florida, Wisconsin, Ohio and Pennsylvania) think the president exaggerates or intentionally lies — but they don’t care. It’s a sign of Trump’s durability with his base, and an intriguing finding of a research project (3,491 likely midterm voters, interviewed by interactive robocall) by the Firehouse...

The US presidential election is turning into a nail-biter as public polls show Hillary Clinton’s lead has slowly eroded over Donald Trump. But suppose you had a way of knowing that the election outcome isn’t as uncertain as it might seem. Some of the world’s biggest investors do have a way. Unwilling to rely on public...

The top-flight data team that worked for Florida Sen. Marco Rubio during his Presidential Campaign is expanding into a new market: the commercial sector. In an interview with Business Insider, the team at Optimus explained how their political experience will translate well into helping companies win over new consumers. The idea to break into commercial, market...

WASHINGTON D.C. – 0ptimus, a data-analytics consulting firm based in Washington D.C., announced today the formation of a new Advisory Board that will include Columbia Professor Donald P. Green (Ph.D.) and former Global CEO of Saatchi & Saatchi and Founder of Fahrenheit 212 Geoff Vuleta. 0ptimus has quickly become one of the most prominent...

Politico Magazine in July called it “The Suburb That Could Flip the House,” so it’s no wonder Pennsylvania’s 8th District is one of several the Congressional Leadership Fund considers key to maintaining a Republican majority in the House. The super PAC recently said it plans to spend $10 million on what it considers competitive...

We talk to Scott Tranter with 0ptimus about Big Data, the Rubio campaign, and how Republicans have advanced their data skills. Listen to the full interview here: http://www.thepollsters.com/podcasts/episode-58i/    

On Tuesday morning, just as polls were opening across the 11 Super Tuesday states, Terry Sullivan, Marco Rubio’s campaign manager, invited donors to the campaign’s Capitol Hill headquarters to give them an early look at the future. Sullivan’s PowerPoint presentation included a section entitled “March Delegate Math Projections,” which laid out three possibilities of...

MANCHESTER, N.H. — In the two weeks that lead up to Monday’s opening salvos in Iowa, pundits and observers saw something interesting unfold. Sens. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio had an extra hop in their step, even while the public media polls remained about the same, with Donald Trump winning almost every one conducted.