India Forecasting After-Action Analysis

Summary After five weeks of voting in seven different phases, the 2019 general election in India concluded and delivered a decisive win for the NDA coalition, led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, to form the government. In the lead up to the election, we produced the 0ptimus Election Model of the Indian Lok Sabha Election.

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2020 General Election Survey – February 2019

From January 30th through February 1st, we conducted a national survey of 2020 general election likely voters to have an early baseline read of potential matchups in the Fall of 2020, including the potential independent candidacy of Howard Schultz.

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Forecasting Congressional Votes Could Yield Juicy Returns

With the help of 0ptimus, a firm of Republican data wonks, he has spent three years building Legis, an algorithm powered by vast quantities of data and a neural network (a computer system modelled on the human brain), which predicts the outcome of congressional votes. Each of the 44 votes it has forecast so...

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